NFL Week 1 - Thursday and Friday

NFL Week 1 - Thursday and Friday

Ravens @ Chiefs

Thursday 9/5 8PM EST

Chiefs -3 O/U 47

Well for the 2nd year in a row the Chiefs will raise a Super Bowl banner at home.  Last year they fell to the Lions 21-20 but that game had no Kelce and no Chris Jones.  On top of that the Chiefs have probably Mahomes best group of receivers ever with Rice, Hollywood Brown, Schuester, and rookie Xavier Worthy.  The Ravens have their fair share of changes as well as they welcome Derrick Henry to the fold to Pair with Lamar Jackson in the Ravens backfield.  The Ravens did however lose 3 offensive lineman along with possibly their best defensive player in LB Patrick Queen.  The Chiefs beat the Ravens at Baltimore in the AFC Championship game 17-10 last season but Lamar swears it's because his legs hurt which forced him to throw the ball.

Quick Hitters:

  • Chiefs 47% Bets, 53% Handle : Ravens 53% Bets 47% Handle
  • Chiefs are 5-0 ATS last 5 games
  • Ravens 4-1 ATS last 5 road games
  • Ravens 5-0 SU last 5 road games
  • Lamar 51-30-2 ATS vs the 1st Half spread that's the best of any QB last 20 years
  • Mahomes 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in home openers
  • SB Champs since 2000 are 14-9-1 ATS in Week 1

Eagles vs. Packers

Friday 9/6 8PM EST Brazil

Eagles -2.5 O/U 49

The Eagles have 2 new coordinators Kellen Moore as OC and Vic Fangio on Defense which both sides of the ball should improve after their drop off last season.  Jordan Love and the Packers got hot in the playoffs last year and will look to carry that momentum. Coach Matt Lafleur of the Packers over 5 seasons is 53-37 ATS. In the 1st 3 weeks of the season Lafluer is 13-2 ATS.

Quick Hitters:

  • Eagles 69% Bets, 77% Handle Packers 31% Bets 23% Handle
  • Total has gone over in 6 of Packers last 7 road games
  • Eagles have not covered the spread in their last 7 games
  • Jalen Hurts is 6-14-1 ATS in his career away from home as a favorite
  • On the road or neutral site Hurts is 10-18-1 ATS that the worst of 104 QBs since 2020
  • Eagles have hit the 1st Half over in 14 of their last 21 games +7.20 units / 31% ROI
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